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Why AI reminds me of cloud computing

Even if you stipulated that cloud computing was going to be a big deal, the early cloud narrative got a lot of things wrong.  To name just a few which I'll deal with in a subsequent post: Cloud wasn't a utility, security really wasn't the key differentiator versus on-premise, and cost savings weren't a slam dunk. Much deeper discussion for another day. Cloud computing was an important movement but the details of that movement were often unclear and a lot of people got a lot of those details wrong. I posit that the same is the case with AI. I'm pretty sure that, as someone who was in the industry through the second AI winter, I'd be foolish (probably) to paint AI as yet another passing fad. But I'm also pretty sure that any picture I paint of the five to ten year-out future is going to miss some important details. Certainly, there's a lot of understandable enthusiasm (and some fear) around large language models (LLMs)). My take is that it's hard to di...

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